Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.205336 0.233421 0.263531 0.298167 0.336859 0.378702 0.427326
2026-01-18 0.169794 0.207806 0.251259 0.304430 0.367553 0.439902 0.528898
2026-01-25 0.145702 0.189965 0.243398 0.312270 0.398266 0.501642 0.634815
2026-02-01 0.123818 0.170906 0.230597 0.311161 0.416310 0.548052 0.724646
2026-02-08 0.106841 0.155327 0.219565 0.309921 0.432577 0.591953 0.813129
2026-02-15 0.093209 0.142162 0.209703 0.308344 0.447087 0.633345 0.899930
2026-02-22 0.084697 0.134906 0.206755 0.315273 0.472787 0.690408 1.010408
2026-03-01 0.075561 0.125498 0.199509 0.314931 0.487535 0.732539 1.102025
2026-03-08 0.067930 0.117392 0.193166 0.314939 0.502167 0.774665 1.195293
2026-03-15 0.061500 0.110379 0.187650 0.315398 0.516991 0.817325 1.291043
2026-03-22 0.056964 0.105911 0.185578 0.320778 0.539287 0.871833 1.406759
2026-03-29 0.053500 0.102837 0.185372 0.328901 0.566080 0.934224 1.537222
2026-04-05 0.049122 0.097825 0.181698 0.331358 0.584490 0.985555 1.654941
2026-04-12 0.045930 0.094594 0.180728 0.338188 0.610369 1.049947 1.796510
2026-04-19 0.043315 0.092134 0.180840 0.346777 0.639583 1.121081 1.952339
2026-04-26 0.039542 0.087010 0.175668 0.345541 0.651768 1.164807 2.065570
2026-05-03 0.036155 0.082255 0.170700 0.344170 0.663417 1.207963 2.179647
2026-05-10 0.033079 0.077768 0.165798 0.342433 0.674107 1.249773 2.293147
2026-05-17 0.031376 0.075968 0.165900 0.350046 0.702030 1.322381 2.462280
2026-05-24 0.028959 0.072342 0.162042 0.349670 0.715060 1.369428 2.589132
2026-05-31 0.026808 0.069052 0.158549 0.349678 0.728669 1.417962 2.720545
2026-06-07 0.024897 0.066088 0.155450 0.350182 0.743129 1.468537 2.857618
2026-06-14 0.023620 0.064465 0.155039 0.356094 0.768338 1.539766 3.034816